Data disclaimer: NOAA/GLERL is not an operational center. We make every effort to ensure accuracy and minimize downtime, however, we cannot guarantee that data and products will always be available and/or accurate. Our forecasts and products should be considered experimental.

NOAA/GLERL is not an operational center. We make every effort to ensure accuracy and minimize downtime, however, we cannot guarantee that data and products will always be available and/or accurate. Our forecasts and products should be considered experimental. Please review our disclaimers.

Experimental Lake Erie Hypoxia Forecast

Forecast date:

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Click here for a retrospective animation of the Experimental Lake Erie Hypoxia Forecasts from the 2020 season, showing the predicted change in bottom temperature and dissolved oxygen. For an interactive version of the animation, visit this page.

The panels below show Experimental Lake Erie Hypoxia Forecasts for the entire lake and 2 sub-regions, a forecast model in development for transition to NOAA operations. Other panels provide additional information on lake conditions. See panel descriptions below. For the latest images, refresh your browser and/or clear its cache.

Forecast change in bottom temperature and dissolved oxygen:

Click to view large animation of forecasted change maps below

Lake Erie
SW Erie
SE Erie

Wind Rose

Forecast bottom temperature and dissolved oxygen:

Click to view animation of forecast maps below

Lake Erie
SW Erie
SE Erie

Cleveland to Port Stanley (Canada) Cross-section

Panel descriptions:

Forecast change in bottom temperature and dissolved oxygen - This panel depicts the Experimental Lake Erie Hypoxia 4-day Forecast. The color scale indicates changes in dissolved oxygen (D.O.) concentrations over a period of 4 days, beginning at noon yesterday (EDT). Areas in green indicate no change in dissolved oxygen levels, while areas in blue indicate a decrease and areas in red indicate an increase.

Wind Rose - This panel depicts the frequency of occurrence of wind directions and speeds for yesterday, today, tomorrow, and the following 3 days. The length of each spoke indicates how frequently a wind blows from a particular direction. Wind speeds are indicated by color, as given by the color scale at the bottom of the plot. The data were sampled from the wind data used to drive the hydrodynamic model simulation at locations around the central basin of Lake Erie, for additional detail see the Great Lakes Coastal Forecasting System (GLCFS)

Forecast bottom temperature and dissolved oxygen - This panel depicts modeled lake bottom temperatures in degrees Celcius and bottom dissolved oxygen, and also a cross-sectional view of Lake Erie forecast model data from Cleveland to Port Stanley (Canada). Red color is associated with higher values, and blue color with lower values, according to the color scale that appears beside the plot. Observations are plotted as white-edged circles, filled with a color according to the color scale. These observations are collected by the Great Lakes Observing System, LimnoTech, and Ontario Ministry of the Environment, Conservation and Parks. (These last 2 links are external to NOAA-GLERL)

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Contact

Hypoxia forecast and development co-lead:
Craig Stow
Senior Research Scientist
NOAA GLERL
(734) 741-2268

Hypoxia forecast and development co-lead:
Mark Rowe
Research Physical Scientist
NOAA GLERL
(734) 741-2172

Stakeholder Engagement:
Devin Gill
CIGLR
(734) 741-2283

Media Contact:
Margaret Lansing
Info Services Branch Chief
NOAA GLERL
(734) 741-2210